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Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation - Business (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Business / Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation (15108 Views)

CBN Rules Out Naira Fall As External Reserves Hit $34bn / China To Start Importing From Nigeria - Emefiele, CBN Governor / Ezekwesili Or Soludo Likely To Be CBN Governor, To Replace Emefiele - Guardian (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Nobody: 11:35am On Jan 20, 2016
The blame have been shifted from pdp to American govt.Can't you impose your own policy that can equal #1 to $1 too?yeye.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by emonkey(m): 11:39am On Jan 20, 2016
wristbangle:
Sunday Aborisade, Abuja.

Abdullahi said, “He (Emefiele) touched on the global economy conditions in which he informed us that we are not immune from external shocks that are currently going on in the world. These shocks include the following: declining commodity prices, geo-political tensions along important trading routes and tightening of monetary policies in the United States of America.

Lalasticlala

[size=14pt]I thought we've all agreed that it is Jonathan's fault. Please stop confusing us with another new opinion.
Everyone don't listen to the buffoon ; it is still Jonathan's fault; you hear?[/size]

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by charles316: 11:39am On Jan 20, 2016
Brainless man
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Elan83(m): 11:40am On Jan 20, 2016
kaeforum:


This is isnt APC matter, the economy has been mismanaged over the years, this climaxed during the GEJ administration, where there was uncontrolled looting of funds, imagine touts and criminals oil vandals given contracts to import navy war ship and contracts to protect our pipelines.

Not to talk of the over dependence on crude oil exports which killed the manufacturing industries and any industry capable of generating income from exporting, leading to over dependence on imports, imagine even tooth picks had and artisans, house helps prostitutes had to imported into naija cos every one got lazy due to oil awoof.

So stop the blame game join hands and rebuild the country. STOP WAILING.
anoda apc riffraff! Continu,, okpo!

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by pdpchangeapc(m): 11:48am On Jan 20, 2016
This is the only person that has not blamed it on Jonathan

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by unite4real: 11:50am On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
I think the CBN Governor was on point here.
---
Most people may not be aware of the Monetary Policy divergence between the US Fed and most other Central Banks in the world. The US Fed just increased its FFR by 25 basis points and is expected to continue doing so in the coming quarters and years. On the other hand, the CBN just reduced its MPR by 200 basis points. Also, the outlook for the US economy looks better while that of Nigeria looks gloomy.
---
For those who understand Finance & Investments, you will appreciate that this has increased the Yield on US financial assets while reducing the yield on Nigerian financial assets. Consequently, foreign portfolio investors (FIP) are moving their funds from Nigeria to the US. As they move out, they are converting Naira to dollars adding to the demand for dollars and the pressure on the Naira. These are "external shocks" completely outside the control of the president or the CBN Governor.

The pressure is on dollars and not Naira. There is so much Naira chasing few dollars

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by jaybee3(m): 11:55am On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
I think the CBN Governor was on point here.
---
Most people may not be aware of the Monetary Policy divergence between the US Fed and most other Central Banks in the world. The US Fed just increased its FFR by 25 basis points and is expected to continue doing so in the coming quarters and years. On the other hand, the CBN just reduced its MPR by 200 basis points. Also, the outlook for the US economy looks better while that of Nigeria looks gloomy.
---
For those who understand Finance & Investments, you will appreciate that this has increased the Yield on US financial assets while reducing the yield on Nigerian financial assets. Consequently, foreign portfolio investors (FIP) are moving their funds from Nigeria to the US. As they move out, they are converting Naira to dollars adding to the demand for dollars and the pressure on the Naira. These are "external shocks" completely outside the control of the president or the CBN Governor.

The fed raising interest rate wasn’t a shock to the market and must have been priced into the market way before the announcement. The dollar as expected did strengthen but any of such knee jerk reaction must have been met with the continual downward pressure created by commodity prices.

What he hasn’t told us is how he intends to close the gap between the official/parallel exchange rate. I strongly believe the imbalance was created largely due to his lack of policy direction.

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Bevista: 11:55am On Jan 20, 2016
unite4real:
The pressure is on dollars and not Naira
You could be right, it's all about perspectives. Do you think the pressure is on the US economy or on Nigerian economy?
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Bevista: 12:01pm On Jan 20, 2016
jaybee3:
The fed raising interest rate wasn’t a shock to the market and must have been priced into the market way before the announcement. The dollar as expected did strengthen but any of such knee jerk reaction must have been met with the continual downward pressure created by commodity prices.

What he hasn’t told us is how he intends to close the gap between the official/parallel exchange rate. I strongly believe the imbalance was created largely due to his lack of policy direction.
It depends on your understanding of Shock. Sliding commodity prices is also considered as external shock. It doesn't have to be "sudden" in this context for it to be considered shock.
---
My earlier comment wasn't about his policy response but about the reality on ground. I still think the CBN response is subpar.

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by jaybee3(m): 12:25pm On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
It depends on your understanding of Shock. Sliding commodity prices is also considered as external shock. It doesn't have to be "sudden" in this context for it to be considered shock.
---
My earlier comment wasn't about his policy response but about the reality on ground. I still think the CBN response is subpar.

I’m fully aware of shock in financial market terms. It’s simply an occurrence of unplanned event with dire consequences for the market hence the increase volatility (Vix index going through the roof).
Events such as earthquake, tsunami, terrorist actions in major economies, a big miss in eagerly awaited data (Non farm payroal, GDP et al), unexpected decision by the policy makers (Announcement of more QE, interest rate increase/decrease) blab la bla

The projection for commodity prices had always been negative since last year summer considering the Iran effect and stubbornly weekly inventory data showing over supplies In the market.

All these forecasts would have been priced in the market hence the usual retracement from the initial reaction.

How clued are you with market fundamentals?

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by oluwasegun007(m): 12:26pm On Jan 20, 2016
u blame jona,

u blame bureau de change,

u blame US, u blame import...

diz made me remember dat tym wey i dey always fail for primary school, i'll den blame my match teacher say na because he get tribal mark...LUBBISH
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Nobody: 12:30pm On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
I think the CBN Governor was on point here.
---
Most people may not be aware of the Monetary Policy divergence between the US Fed and most other Central Banks in the world. The US Fed just increased its FFR by 25 basis points and is expected to continue doing so in the coming quarters and years. On the other hand, the CBN just reduced its MPR by 200 basis points. Also, the outlook for the US economy looks better while that of Nigeria looks gloomy.
---
For those who understand Finance & Investments, you will appreciate that this has increased the Yield on US financial assets while reducing the yield on Nigerian financial assets. Consequently, foreign portfolio investors (FIP) are moving their funds from Nigeria to the US. As they move out, they are converting Naira to dollars adding to the demand for dollars and the pressure on the Naira. These are "external shocks" completely outside the control of the president or the CBN Governor.


Why are they moving their funds? I wanna know.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by cele360: 12:49pm On Jan 20, 2016
since we voted for change i dont know if things are getting better or getting worst oo, why did we vote for apc is it not for things to get better but everyday we keep hearing things are getting worst and differnt kind of blame, pls buhari pray for direction and divine wisdom with vision to move this country forward, I don't understand ur agenda
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by InvertedHammer: 12:55pm On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
I think the CBN Governor was on point here.
---
Most people may not be aware of the Monetary Policy divergence between the US Fed and most other Central Banks in the world. The US Fed just increased its FFR by 25 basis points and is expected to continue doing so in the coming quarters and years. On the other hand, the CBN just reduced its MPR by 200 basis points. Also, the outlook for the US economy looks better while that of Nigeria looks gloomy.
---
For those who understand Finance & Investments, you will appreciate that this has increased the Yield on US financial assets while reducing the yield on Nigerian financial assets. Consequently, foreign portfolio investors (FIP) are moving their funds from Nigeria to the US. As they move out, they are converting Naira to dollars adding to the demand for dollars and the pressure on the Naira. These are "external shocks" completely outside the control of the president or the CBN Governor.
/
Your theory sounds good.

But the simple fact is that the US dollar index has been on a parabolic rise since last year. Every currency is down against US dollar from Euro, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, Russian rubble(hit its lowest against US dollar last week), etc. to Nigerian naira. It is a global problem. If the currencies of G7 countries are taking a hit against the US dollar, how much more the currency of a poor and insignificant country like Nigeria? There is nothing Emefile or anyone in Nigeria can do about it. Naira will eventually gain some ground if and when an economic fundamental shock sends US dollar index spiraling out of control.
/

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Nicur: 1:00pm On Jan 20, 2016
embarassed

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by playtheblues(f): 1:08pm On Jan 20, 2016
So it's no more GEJ
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by playtheblues(f): 1:09pm On Jan 20, 2016
I read it very well and I join him to say that APC is indeed a joke.
wristbangle:


Did you read the article?
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Guyman02: 1:13pm On Jan 20, 2016
To help the Naira we must start buying Made In Nigeria products. Senate should buy Innosin vehicles with the N4.5b, local rice should be consumend and we should stop calling our goods Igbo made or Aba made or Ijebu. Patronise that shoemaker on your street and stop wearing only foreign things.

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by hopilo: 3:39pm On Jan 20, 2016
It is not USA but GEJ or last administration.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by ntebong: 4:26pm On Jan 20, 2016
Mr. Godwin Emefiele, i can predict that your days are numbered as a CBN governor for blaming the free fall of Naira on US policy rather than on GEJ past government, you are a round peck in a square hole in this government, you would have received tutorial from Hell Rufia , Amechi, Liar mohammed and the Minister of Health before appearing before the senate committee. Why embarrassed the Federal government ? Waiting to hear you are fired soonest.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by mygee33(m): 4:53pm On Jan 20, 2016
Crude @ $30 per barrel abi? What happened when it was $140/b

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Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by grandstar(m): 5:21pm On Jan 20, 2016
Tokt:
The summary of this is based on current challenges, we are currently not doing badly and on course to full recovery.

He has hoodwinked you.

Yes the country has problems but they have been compounded by the foriegn exchange restrictions introduced. The ban of 41 products from accessing thr CBN for forex and the refusal to devalue have seriously worsened the situation.

The other countries in our situation have not taken the same retrogressive steps.

The economic actions have been condemned by Soludo and Sanusi who are staunch Buharist.

The naira is heading to 400 to $1 by December if the expansionary budget is passed.

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by grandstar(m): 5:38pm On Jan 20, 2016
jaybee3:



The fed raising interest rate wasn’t a shock to the market and must have been priced into the market way before the announcement. The dollar as expected did strengthen but any of such knee jerk reaction must have been met with the continual downward pressure created by commodity prices.

What he hasn’t told us is how he intends to close the gap between the official/parallel exchange rate. I strongly believe the imbalance was created largely due to his lack of policy direction.
1,000,000,000,000 likes

The government introduced statist economic policies such as the foriegn exchange restrictions which have worsened the situation.

The naira will hit 400 by the end of the year if the expansionary budget is passed.

Soludo and Sanusi have both condemned these policies.

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Bevista: 6:24pm On Jan 20, 2016
udemzy101:
Why are they moving their funds? I wanna know.
If you go back and read the last paragraph of my earlier comment, then you will notice that I tried to explain part of the reason.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by galantjoe(m): 7:48pm On Jan 20, 2016
Bevista:
I think the CBN Governor was on point here.
---
Most people may not be aware of the Monetary Policy divergence between the US Fed and most other Central Banks in the world. The US Fed just increased its FFR by 25 basis points and is expected to continue doing so in the coming quarters and years. On the other hand, the CBN just reduced its MPR by 200 basis points. Also, the outlook for the US economy looks better while that of Nigeria looks gloomy.
---
For those who understand Finance & Investments, you will appreciate that this has increased the Yield on US financial assets while reducing the yield on Nigerian financial assets. Consequently, foreign portfolio investors (FIP) are moving their funds from Nigeria to the US. As they move out, they are converting Naira to dollars adding to the demand for dollars and the pressure on the Naira. These are "external shocks" completely outside the control of the president or the CBN Governor.

then if that is the case, the CBN should equate her MPR to that of US Fed in order to retain the foreign investment or attract same. yes increasing the MPR will be injurious to local SME but out of two options the former is best for now at least to retain the foreign investment and prevent capital freight
the summary of everything is that Emefiele is incompetent.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Nobody: 10:13pm On Jan 20, 2016
Love Machine:
Can't the government devalue the American dollar so that inflation can be reduced?It's like some top politicians are benefitting from it

**grrhh** re you for real even my grandpapa no fit make such dumbo statement for God sake dd even read your post.mehn Smh! You tink sey na abracadabra them go use do am ni

1 Like

Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by Nobody: 10:25pm On Jan 20, 2016
ajayi01ibrahim:


**grrhh** re you for real even my grandpapa no fit make such dumbo statement for God sake dd even read your post.mehn Smh! You tink sey na abracadabra them go use do am ni
It is possible.Doorr!
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by October1960: 6:37am On Jan 21, 2016
Dollar will keep rising because USA is a country that is mostly law abiding. Investments are safe.

People from other countries even China bring their wealth for safe keeping in USA.

Even Europeans are buying property in Florida. Do foreigners come to Nigeria to buy property?

Does anyone even Nigerians feel safe investing in Nigeria? Little electricity, poor medical facilities, corrupt judiciary and police, poor roads, BAD thieving governments for over 30 years!

Why won't Naira crash?! Probably the rate will be $1 for #1000 by the end of 2016.

The oil that was covering decades of misrule is headed back to $10 a barrel so all the stealing that should have been invested have come home to roost.

ALL tribes and religions should look in the mirror and see how your LOCAL representatives have robbed you blind for more than 30 years. Even the thieving politicians and government officials keep most of their stolen loot in the USA and Swiss Banks.

If Nigerians really know how much was stolen they will stop feeling sorry for former government officials and support efforts by the present administration to recover some of the money.
Re: Emefiele Blames Naira Fall On US Policy and Importation by mikolo80: 7:48pm On Jan 23, 2016
wristbangle:

Did you read the article?
did you read his moniker

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