This analysis and prediction is from an Osun resident who has been participating actively in Osun election since 2003. I am a loyal party member of one of the political parties that will participate in tomorrow election, notwithstanding, this analysis will be objective and free from bias but base on factors that normally swing votes for political parties and candidates from previous elections and voting patterns in each local government.
I will start from Osun west senatorial district since the voting patterns may likely change because of the agitation that it is there turn to produce the next governor of the state since both the central and east district have spent a minimum of eight years as the governor of the state.
Ede South Local Government
PDP to win with 17000+ votes, to be follow by APC. SDP and ADP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Ede North Local Government
PDP to win with 13000+ votes to be follow by APC and ADP, SDP will be struggling for votes in this area.
Egbedore Local Government
PDP to win with 4000+ votes to be follow by APC and SDP, ADP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Ejigbo Local Government
APC to win with 5000+ votes to be follow by SDP, PDP and ADP will be struggling for votes in this area
Iwo Local Government
ADP to win with 10000+, to be follow by APC. PDP and SDP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Ayedire Local Government
Votes in this local government will be split into three with PDP getting like 30%, APC 28% and ADP 29%.
Ola oluwa local Government
This local government will also follow the above pattern with APC getting 33%, ADP 30% , PDP 28%. Olaoluwa is a small local government
Irewole Local Government
PDP to win with 3000+ votes to be follow by APC and ADP, SDP will be struggling for votes in this area.
Isokan Local Government
This is PDP base and APC has always be finding it difficult to win, but the fact that SDP deputy governorship candidate come from this area may give SDP win this time.
Ayedade Local Government
PDP will win this local government to be follow closely by ADP. APC and SDP will also get much votes.
Osun central senatorial district is considered to be the APC base and this is the district that have the largest voting population. Parties standing in the district will be as follows:
Irepodun Local Government
This is my local government and APC will win with 3000+ votes. APC to win the five wards in my hometown. SDP and PDP to follow each other closely, ADP to have some votes in Ilobu
Orolu Local Government
This local government will be very tight because APC and PDP are on head to head. ADP and SDP to get some votes.
Osogbo Local Government
This is the largest local government and where APC got huge votes in 2014, Osogbo is also an APC council, they always voted AD, AC, ACN and APC but things has change because of some bigwigs defection from APC in this local government. Another factor that will makes Osogbo votes to change is that the deputy governorship candidate of ADP prof durotoye is from this area, he was woo and nominated by Osogbo indigenes to come and deputise Adeoti. Notwithstanding, APC to win with less than 10000 votes, ADP, SDP and PDP will follow one another closely
Olorunda Local Government
This is the second largest local government, this local government is also within Osogbo the state capital and some adjoining villages. APC to win with 5000+ votes, ADP, SDP and PDP to follow one another closely
Ifelodun local Government
This local government will be very tough, it used to be APC stronghold but since the emergence of Oyetola as the APC candidate, arobafin faction of APC had pulled out if the party. This local government may be win by ADP or APC. PDP will not do badly while SDP will be struggling for votes
Odo otin Local Government
PDP may win this local government with ADP and APC to follow closely. The difference between parties here may not be up to 1500
Boripe
This is where the APC candidate come from and APC will win with 5000+ votes. PDP and ADP to follow each other closely. SDP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Boluwaduro
PDP to win this local government with APC and ADP follow closely. The difference between parties may not be up to 1000. SDP will be struggling for votes in this area.
Ila
This is also APC base and home of former interim national party chairman of APC but defection of some bigwigs including hon Akanni Clement to PDP may swing votes for PDP this time. SDP and ADP to get some votes also
Ifedayo
PDP to win this local government. The local government is very small, and there may not be a significant difference between parties in this council
Osun East senatorial district
This is where the governorship candidate of SDP and the incumbent governor come from.
Ife central
SDP to win with 18000+ votes, APC, PDP and ADP will be struggling for votes in this area
Ife East
SDP to win with 10000+ votes. APC, PDP and ADP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Ife South
SDP to win with 7000+ votes to be follow by APC. PDP and ADP will be struggling for votes in this council
Ife north
This local government may likely go to APC, it is a small local government. The difference between parties here may not be up to 1500.
Ilesa East
This is governor aregbesola local government. APC to win with 5000+ votes. It used to be APC stronghold but since the emergence of APC candidate. Some APC members defected to ADP. ADP and SDP to follow each other closely. PDP will be struggling for votes in this area
Ilesa west
ADP to win this local government with 2000+ votes, to be follow by SDP and APC, PDP will be struggling for votes in this local government
Atakumosa East
APC to win with 2000+ votes. ADP SDP and PDP to follow one another closely
Atakumosa West
To follow the above pattern
Obokun
APC to win this council with 3000+ votes. SDP and PDP to follow closely. ADP will be struggling for votes in this area
Oriade
This local government will be keenly contested by ADP, APC and SDP. APC to win with ADP with a little margin of less than 1000 votes.
This is my personal prediction, having participated actively in Osun politics for more than 16 years.
Monetary factor will also play a vital role in tomorrow election because more than 30% of electorate has not decide who to vote for and may eventually settle for the highest bidder.
APC may lose because of the fact that the present administration is owing huge arrears of salaries and pension. It may also lose because some peoples are seen the APC governorship candidate has a stooge of Tinubu and Aregbesola. Also, some are of the opinion that they are taken Osun wealth to Lagos and fail to award contract to the local contractors. The political class also accused Aregbesola of not appointing local politician to some important positions.
PDP candidate is also having a lot of baggage on is head. His inability to be educated up to SSCE level which question his competency level, the fact that their family is not the only family to be continued worshiping in the state, since his late father was a senator between 1979-1983, his late brother was a former governor and senator, and he is also a current senator.
For SDP candidate, Osun people have not forgotten how chief Ajibola Ige was murdered.
For ADP, his party lack political structure
Well, I am predicting APC winning with a very slim margin of less than 10000 votes difference.

All I can do is laugh.

You really try but that of ayedade apc will win. Please is that not gbogan axis? If it is, give it to apc because people there have passion for aregbe.