Subsea:
There is no reasonable Nigerian that does not know Peter Obi stand out as a true decent and corrupt free politician to take Nigeria out of the woods. Its only selfish Nigerians that are currently benefiting from this decadence in Nigerian today that wont understand why Obi is the best for Nigeria come 2023. Anyone who truly love progress and wish Nigeria well will definitely support Obi. You can see such love and acceptance across the entire country for Peter Obi without collecting shishi.

FalseProphet1:

You're absolutely right. The core north over the years have been known to queue behind their sons, regardless of how incompetent he is. I don't see them changing overnight.

If I'm to analyze how voting would be next year based on how thing are currently.

Tinubu would win the 6 SW states but it would be tightly contested by Atiku and Peter Obi, Tinubu would win Kwara, Kogi and yobe states making it 9 states. He won't get 25% in the SS and SE. He won't get up to 25% in any other northern state. So he has. 9 states

Peter Obi would get bloc votes from all 5 SE states, he would win the 3 Niger Delta states which are Delta, Rivers and Bayelsa, he would win Edo, Abuja, then ride on the wings of CAN and PFN who are clearly against tinubu's Muslim Muslim ticket to win Plateau, Taraba, Benue, Nasarrawa, making it 14 States. He would have more than 500,000 vote in Lagos even though he would loose it to Tinubu, and get 25% votes in all SW states, Cross river and Akwa ibom.

Kwankwaso is a spoiler. He might win Kano narrowly and maybe Jigawa. He would spilt Atiku's Bloc votes in the remaining northern states.

Atiku would win all North Eastern states, then battle for votes with Kwankwaso in the NW states.

So as things are, if Kwankwaso remains in NNPP and doesn't merge with anyone, Peter Obi would most likely win, cos Kwankwaso would be a spoiler to Atiku's Bloc votes.

EDOLUWA:
It's time to be calculative and stop being sentimental about Obi that we know cannot win Presidential election for now because he is contesting against PDP and APC that has structure over the years.

A vote for Obi is a vote wasted on the platform of real ignorance about Naija politics. Peter Obi waited till less than a year to election to defect to LP and belief he can win next election,outright fallacy and social media concoction.

Realistically the Next Nigeria President is between Atiku and Tinubu because their parties has structure on ground already and has larger political awared followers.

Saintinoo:


Good analysis, but I think Taraba is for Obi, Taraba has 90 percent Christians and they are all going for Peter Obi, infact, most people here are begging the Igbo's to come out and vote for their brother Obi.

Besides, I don't want Obi to merge with Kwankwaso because Kwankwaso will be a spoiler for PDP and APc, he will divide their votes.

ecolime:
What is Madness?

[b]Madness is you hustling to get your PVC, sweat under the sun on election day to vote Tinubu after 8 years of Buhari's hardship and misrule.


A perfect definition of madness

FalseProphet1:
It will o!

The whole North is queuing up behind Atiku and Kwankwaso, this is bad business for Tinubu cos the bloc votes he was expecting from the north to win the election would be cancelled by Atiku and Kwankwaso

This means that aside the SW, tinubu isn't sure of bloc votes from any other zone.

2023 would be a very interesting year.

This I have seen.

FalseProphet1:

That's the blunt truth, if Peter Obi merges with Kwankwaso it would be a disaster cos Atiku would sweep the north.

No one knows Kwankwaso here in the south, so his mission in the north would be to spoil Atiku and Tinubu's votes.

And yes Taraba is a Christian state, Peter Obi would win it with Bloc votes. Tinubu would be the biggest looser in this election cos he'll come 3rd.

Jack500:
Those defecting are those losers that lost their party tickets, it is normal and expected.

Defections that can shake APC are sitting governors defections, anything apart from that is just noise.

Meanwhile, the new song by that children of hate and perdition is where is his certificate? Tinubu became a senator, his certificate has no issue, he became a governor his certificate has no issue, he is contesting for President and the certificate is no longer valid?

Hatred has damaged most of you brain

Asiwaju will build a big rehabilitation center for you guys in 2023 when he becomes president, you all need mental rehabilitation.


On you mandate we shall stand.

greatnationmedi:
The reason why Tinubu is having certificate issue for He's contesting for President is because He doctored his age but didn't doctor his age when he was a senator and governor, If he simply release his primary and secondary certificate, It will show his real age...So be wise.

cherishmichael:
Defections’ll not affect Tinubu, APC chieftain expresses confidence



https://www.google.com/amp/s/punchng.com/defectionsll-not-affect-tinubu-apc-chieftain-expresses-confidence/%3famp

zionmde:
Yeah it won't affect Tinubu's chances afterall it didn't affect GEJ from winning 2nd term

Afterall there are 5 stages of grief: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance. They are still in the denial stage

inforesource:
Yes sir, I agree with you. He has enough machinery. In fact, everyone should defect and leave him, he will still win. Toh!!

zionmde:
Yeah it won't affect Tinubu's chances afterall it didn't affect GEJ from winning 2nd term

Afterall there are 5 stages of grief: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance. They are still in the denial stage

ecolime:
What is Madness?

Madness is you hustling to get your PVC, sweat under the sun on election day to vote Tinubu after 8 years of Buhari's hardship and misrule.

inforesource:
Yes sir, I agree with you. He has enough machinery. In fact, everyone should defect and leave him, he will still win. Toh!!

newoffer:
I never drink cranberry before. Am sure their token go buy me one. You go force me votenfor you ni. When u lead, u do ur part and step aside. Bros no step he became d God who dictates. That's not politics. That's inhuman. Same thing going on in LCDA. The former chose who can be controlled. What kind of style is dis. We are all part of this history. Don't make it look like we come watch Telemundo on earth..

Jack500:
Those defecting are those losers that lost their party tickets, it is normal and expected.

Defections that can shake APC are sitting governors defections, anything apart from that is just noise.

Meanwhile, the new song by that children of hate and perdition is where is his certificate? Tinubu became a senator, his certificate has no issue, he became a governor his certificate has no issue, he is contesting for President and the certificate is no longer valid?

Hatred has damaged most of you brain

Asiwaju will build a big rehabilitation center for you guys in 2023 when he becomes president, you all need mental rehabilitation.


On you mandate we shall stand.

PrinceMajestic:
It seems PDP may still be in power, it seems like Buhari just showed up as a raging military general scared off Jonathan's pdp govt and took office for 8 years and his now returning it to his northern brother in PDP Atiku. Why will there be mass defections when it's Tinubu's time to fly the party's flag? BAT man is not helping matters he keeps appointing people of questionable character as DGs of his campaign from Abdulmumin Jibrin to Babachir Lawal and now Adebayo shittu who had nysc scandal, election has not started but BAT already changed campaign DG 3 times while Atiku keeps going smoothly since he has already been on the ballot since 2019. I'm afraid PDP will come back but if worse come to worse no problem, Nigeria returns back to default settings. All our hopes are on Jagaban Borgu to continue the APC Govt, we don't want our country to return back to PDP rule. BAT should not disappoint us

GreyLaw:


Speak for yourself alone! Who is "we"? You are so funny. Your hope is on Tinubu? Kai!