The presidential election was held on the 25th of February 2023. It featured four top contestants and a politically-woke populace, especially the youths.
Atiku Abubakar (PDP), Peter Obi (LP), Bola Tinubu (APC), and Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) fought for the electoral spoils.
The numbers came in and we had plenty surprises. Peter Obi beat the Bourdillon strongman in his own home turf, Lagos State. Most Obidients swear to high heavens that the real margin between the LP standard bearer and his APC rival was five to six times the figures INEC presented. Peter Obi made men like El-Rufai and his garrulous son to swallow their words. He even won four states in the North, an unthinkable feat for a person from the SE. He won the polling units of a number of APC and PDP stalwarts and many believe he was rigged out.
The North delivered for Tinubu, contrary to the expectations of those wishing him him a repeat of the Afonja-Alimi episode. He did fairly well in the North and South. He lost his home state of Lagos to the LP and also suffered the same fate in his alleged ancestral home state of Osun to the PDP. He cleared the rest of the SW without breaking sweat. He got real numbers up North, he won Jigawa, Borno, Benue, Kwara and Kogi etc. His triumph in Rivers State made tongues to wag. It was a cruel joke to say the least.
Atiku Abubakar, a perennial contestant, did some average numbers in the northern parts and the southern parts. PDP could not pull much weight in the SE because of the Obi tsunami there. He didn't win a single state there. This is the first time PDP experienced such rejection in the East. As earlier stated he won Osun State in the SW and that was that. He managed to win Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom and got decimated in Rivers State as Wike promised to do. Up North, it was clear that he has never been a darling of the almajirai and talakawas. He won Adamawa, Bauchi, Katsina, Yobe, Gombe etc but never pulled the 'Buhari numbers'. Infact, the person that came close to that feat was Kwankwaso but he did that in just one state, Kano State.
All in all, Tinubu was declared winner even though he didn't get 25% in the FCT sparking another round of debates. Every Tom, Dick and Harry became legal experts of sorts. The inferno is raging in concert with the rigging wildfires.
The LP and PDP have rejected the outcome of the election and have vowed to seek legal redress and that's the subject of my essay.
The aggrieved aspirants and their supporters believe they have hard evidences of brazen rigging of the election. In this age of information technology and the social media, pictorial exhibits of recklessly doctored electoral forms have been flying all over the cyberspace. Videos of thuggery, ballot snatching and tampering of results have had a field day on various social media platforms.
The powers that be, US, UK, France, EU, ECOWAS, AU, etc have been speaking from both sides of their mouths. They have sent their congratulations and, at the same time, mumbled complaints about election irregularities. Goodluck Jonathan, apparently as an ECOWAS representative, visited Bola Tinubu and the pictures said it all: Tinubu is the President-elect and we should all move on. He visited the obviously disgruntled candidates of the other parties but the real message has been sent.
Personally I believe that Peter Obi won this contest or, at least, pulled off numbers to force a re-run or run-off election but he was played out by the Nigerian establishment wary of the man and his Obidient movement.
High hopes are being placed on the Supreme Court but I think we shouldn't get our hopes too high. Some might say I am feeling defeated, despondent or down but I think otherwise. I know too much of Nigeria's history to feel overly optimistic about the chance of getting justice at the Apex Court.
At a very tender age, my father told me about the 1979 elections and the Awolowo vs. Shagari fallout.
History has it that the Nigerian Supreme Court has never upturned the results of any presidential election conducted in this country. The aforementioned Awolowo vs. Shagari (1979) is a perfect example. Obasanjo vs. Falae (1999), Obasanjo vs. Buhari (2003), Buhari vs. Yar'Adua (2007) Jonathan vs. Buhari (2011) and Atiku vs. Buhari are practical examples of the fact I stated above.
The Supreme Court in 1979 delivered a judgement in favor of Shehu Shagari and stated that the judgement should not be used as a legal precedent! Why? Your guess is good as mine. In 2003, we experienced this FCT 25% fiasco and the Supreme Court decided to make Abuja to count as an ordinary state. Question is why give Abuja a special mention in the electoral act or law if it will still be counted as an ordinary state?! In 2007, the Supreme Court admitted that the elections were flawed and improvements were needed but Yar'Adua was still the winner! In 2019, Atiku's suit was dismissed with just three sentences!
I'm wondering why do they leave things like that. I think they consider the financial, logistical and security implications of overturning the verdict of the election-conducting body or ordering the repeat of a presidential election. Nigeria is very volatile and a little action can set it on fire.
With what I have seen, Peter Obi has a strong case. I hope he's an exception to the 'Nigerian Supreme Court' rule but I'm not hedging my bets on that. He has had a very good outing. With 10 Senators and 42 HoRs members, he can build a formidable structure. The Obidients should simply pray that those who have won and would still win with LP will perform very well so that Obi can claim the top spot in 2027. Anything short of that will be eagerly waiting for an 'Uzodinma miracle'. Let's hope that Justice Ariwoola would pull that off against his kinsman.

tishbite42:
The presidential election was held on the 25th of February 2023. It featured four top contestants and a politically-woke populace, especially the youths.
Atiku Abubakar (PDP), Peter Obi (LP), Bola Tinubu (APC), and Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) fought for the electoral spoils.
The numbers came in and we had plenty surprises. Peter Obi beat the Bourdillon strongman in his own home turf, Lagos State. Most Obidients swear to high heavens that the real margin between the LP standard bearer and his APC rival was five to six times the figures INEC presented. Peter Obi made men like El-Rufai and his garrulous son to swallow their words. He even won four states in the North, an unthinkable feat for a person from the SE. He won the polling units of a number of APC and PDP stalwarts and many believe he was rigged out.
The North delivered for Tinubu, contrary to the expectations of those wishing him him a repeat of the Afonja-Alimi episode. He did fairly well in the North and South. He lost his home state of Lagos to the LP and also suffered the same fate in his alleged ancestral home state of Osun to the PDP. He cleared the rest of the SW without breaking sweat. He got real numbers up North, he won Jigawa, Borno, Benue, Kwara and Kogi etc. His triumph in Rivers State made tongues to wag. It was a cruel joke to say the least.
Atiku Abubakar, a perennial contestant, did some average numbers in the northern parts and the southern parts. PDP could not pull much weight in the SE because of the Obi tsunami there. He didn't win a single state there. This is the first time PDP experienced such rejection in the East. As earlier stated he won Osun State in the SW and that was that. He managed to win Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom and got decimated in Rivers State as Wike promised to do. Up North, it was clear that he has never been a darling of the almajirai and talakawas. He won Adamawa, Bauchi, Katsina, Yobe, Gombe etc but never pulled the 'Buhari numbers'. Infact, the person that came close to that feat was Kwankwaso but he did that in just one state, Kano State.
All in all, Tinubu was declared winner even though he didn't get 25% in the FCT sparking another round of debates. Every Tom, Dick and Harry became legal experts of sorts. The inferno is raging in concert with the rigging wildfires.
The LP and PDP have rejected the outcome of the election and have vowed to seek legal redress and that's the subject of my essay.
The aggrieved aspirants and their supporters believe they have hard evidences of brazen rigging of the election. In this age of information technology and the social media, pictorial exhibits of recklessly doctored electoral forms have been flying all over the cyberspace. Videos of thuggery, ballot snatching and tampering of results have had a field day on various social media platforms.
The powers that be, US, UK, France, EU, ECOWAS, AU, etc have been speaking from both sides of their mouths. They have sent their congratulations and, at the same time, mumbled complaints about election irregularities. Goodluck Jonathan, apparently as an ECOWAS representative, visited Bola Tinubu and the pictures said it all: Tinubu is the President-elect and we should all move on. He visited the obviously disgruntled candidates of the other parties but the real message has been sent.
Personally I believe that Peter Obi won this contest or, at least, pulled off numbers to force a re-run or run-off election but he was played out by the Nigerian establishment wary of the man and his Obidient movement.
High hopes are being placed on the Supreme Court but I think we shouldn't get our hopes too high. Some might say I am feeling defeated, despondent or down but I think otherwise. I know too much of Nigeria's history to feel overly optimistic about the chance of getting justice at the Apex Court.
At a very tender age, my father told me about the 1979 elections and the Awolowo vs. Shagari fallout.
History has it that the Nigerian Supreme Court has never upturned the results of any presidential election conducted in this country. The aforementioned Awolowo vs. Shagari (1979) is a perfect example. Obasanjo vs. Falae (1999), Obasanjo vs. Buhari (2003), Buhari vs. Yar'Adua (2007) Jonathan vs. Buhari (2011) and Atiku vs. Buhari are practical examples of the fact I stated above.
The Supreme Court in 1979 delivered a judgement in favor of Shehu Shagari and stated that the judgement should not be used as a legal precedent! Why? Your guess is good as mine. In 2003, we experienced this FCT 25% fiasco and the Supreme Court decided to make Abuja to count as an ordinary state. Question is why give Abuja a special mention in the electoral act or law if it will still be counted as an ordinary state?! In 2007, the Supreme Court admitted that the elections were flawed and improvements were needed but Yar'Adua was still the winner!
I'm wondering why do they leave things like that. I think they consider the financial, logistical and security implications of overturning the verdict of the election-conducting body or ordering the repeat of a presidential election. Nigeria is very volatile and a little action can set it on fire.
With what I have seen, Peter Obi has a strong case. I hope he's an exception to the 'Nigerian Supreme Court' rule but I'm not hedging my bets on that. He has had a very good outing. With 10 Senators and 42 HoRs members, he can build a formidable structure. The Obidients should simply pray that those who have won and would still win with LP will perform very well so that Obi can claim the top spot in 2027. Anything short of that will be eagerly waiting for an 'Uzodinma miracle'. Let's hope that Justice Ariwoola would pull that off against his kinsman.

if obi repeat ds in 2027, he'll loose with wider margins

Healthquest:
if obi repeat ds in 2027, he'll loose with wider margins

That depends on the performance of Tinubu and that of the people voted on the Labour Party platform

tishbite42:
The presidential election was held on the 25th of February 2023. It featured four top contestants and a politically-woke populace, especially the youths.
Atiku Abubakar (PDP), Peter Obi (LP), Bola Tinubu (APC), and Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) fought for the electoral spoils.
The numbers came in and we had plenty surprises. Peter Obi beat the Bourdillon strongman in his own home turf, Lagos State. Most Obidients swear to high heavens that the real margin between the LP standard bearer and his APC rival was five to six times the figures INEC presented. Peter Obi made men like El-Rufai and his garrulous son to swallow their words. He even won four states in the North, an unthinkable feat for a person from the SE. He won the polling units of a number of APC and PDP stalwarts and many believe he was rigged out.
The North delivered for Tinubu, contrary to the expectations of those wishing him him a repeat of the Afonja-Alimi episode. He did fairly well in the North and South. He lost his home state of Lagos to the LP and also suffered the same fate in his alleged ancestral home state of Osun to the PDP. He cleared the rest of the SW without breaking sweat. He got real numbers up North, he won Jigawa, Borno, Benue, Kwara and Kogi etc. His triumph in Rivers State made tongues to wag. It was a cruel joke to say the least.
Atiku Abubakar, a perennial contestant, did some average numbers in the northern parts and the southern parts. PDP could not pull much weight in the SE because of the Obi tsunami there. He didn't win a single state there. This is the first time PDP experienced such rejection in the East. As earlier stated he won Osun State in the SW and that was that. He managed to win Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom and got decimated in Rivers State as Wike promised to do. Up North, it was clear that he has never been a darling of the almajirai and talakawas. He won Adamawa, Bauchi, Katsina, Yobe, Gombe etc but never pulled the 'Buhari numbers'. Infact, the person that came close to that feat was Kwankwaso but he did that in just one state, Kano State.
All in all, Tinubu was declared winner even though he didn't get 25% in the FCT sparking another round of debates. Every Tom, Dick and Harry became legal experts of sorts. The inferno is raging in concert with the rigging wildfires.
The LP and PDP have rejected the outcome of the election and have vowed to seek legal redress and that's the subject of my essay.
The aggrieved aspirants and their supporters believe they have hard evidences of brazen rigging of the election. In this age of information technology and the social media, pictorial exhibits of recklessly doctored electoral forms have been flying all over the cyberspace. Videos of thuggery, ballot snatching and tampering of results have had a field day on various social media platforms.
The powers that be, US, UK, France, EU, ECOWAS, AU, etc have been speaking from both sides of their mouths. They have sent their congratulations and, at the same time, mumbled complaints about election irregularities. Goodluck Jonathan, apparently as an ECOWAS representative, visited Bola Tinubu and the pictures said it all: Tinubu is the President-elect and we should all move on. He visited the obviously disgruntled candidates of the other parties but the real message has been sent.
Personally I believe that Peter Obi won this contest or, at least, pulled off numbers to force a re-run or run-off election but he was played out by the Nigerian establishment wary of the man and his Obidient movement.
High hopes are being placed on the Supreme Court but I think we shouldn't get our hopes too high. Some might say I am feeling defeated, despondent or down but I think otherwise. I know too much of Nigeria's history to feel overly optimistic about the chance of getting justice at the Apex Court.
At a very tender age, my father told me about the 1979 elections and the Awolowo vs. Shagari fallout.
History has it that the Nigerian Supreme Court has never upturned the results of any presidential election conducted in this country. The aforementioned Awolowo vs. Shagari (1979) is a perfect example. Obasanjo vs. Falae (1999), Obasanjo vs. Buhari (2003), Buhari vs. Yar'Adua (2007) Jonathan vs. Buhari (2011) and Atiku vs. Buhari are practical examples of the fact I stated above.
The Supreme Court in 1979 delivered a judgement in favor of Shehu Shagari and stated that the judgement should not be used as a legal precedent! Why? Your guess is good as mine. In 2003, we experienced this FCT 25% fiasco and the Supreme Court decided to make Abuja to count as an ordinary state. Question is why give Abuja a special mention in the electoral act or law if it will still be counted as an ordinary state?! In 2007, the Supreme Court admitted that the elections were flawed and improvements were needed but Yar'Adua was still the winner!
I'm wondering why do they leave things like that. I think they consider the financial, logistical and security implications of overturning the verdict of the election-conducting body or ordering the repeat of a presidential election. Nigeria is very volatile and a little action can set it on fire.
With what I have seen, Peter Obi has a strong case. I hope he's an exception to the 'Nigerian Supreme Court' rule but I'm not hedging my bets on that. He has had a very good outing. With 10 Senators and 42 HoRs members, he can build a formidable structure. The Obidients should simply pray that those who have won and would still win with LP will perform very well so that Obi can claim the top spot in 2027. Anything short of that will be eagerly waiting for an 'Uzodinma miracle'. Let's hope that Justice Ariwoola would pull that off against his kinsman.

If you steal my property and I happen to know where you took my property to, I will not wait till 2024 or 2025 to reclaim my property from you. I must go immediately and apprehend you.

So my guy, we must get our mandate back. Atiku have no case in the Supreme Court. He is seeking an alliance because he wants to ride on Obi's wave to victory.

We are too separate parties

Faber:


If you steal my property and I happen to know where you took my property to, I will not wait till 2024 or 2025 to reclaim my property from you. I must go immediately and apprehend you.

So my guy, we must get our mandate back. Atiku have no case in the Supreme Court. He is seeking an alliance because he wants to ride on Obi's wave to victory.

We are too separate parties

Of course, Obi has made that clear to all and sundry