pansophist:
https://youtube.com/shorts/WmGWZ1m1gKs?si=UiEZz_urvqQAka-B

emmaodet:


Interesting time is really ahead of us and I pray these guys don't annihilate us all.
A Russian I worked with of recent said when the Ukraine Russian war started last year, it all started small with light weapons but as the day progresses now, more and more dangerous and extremely dangerous weapons are been brought to the war front and things are really going out of hand

Gerrard59:


At least, those women will not outrightly refuse to prepare food for their fathers like what I read on TwitterNG for the past two days.

Kipaji:


Do you guys suspect that all this is a theatrical performance like I do?
I wouldn't be surprised to learn that all these guys are best friends behind closed doors, or are playing a game whose rules have been set by bodies independently of them.

Gerrard59:



The third strategy is supporting Chinese firms with massive subsidies to develop the tech they need. This has been extremely successful in renewable technology. Whether it is wind, solar or EVs, the Chinese dominate disproportionately. I believe the same is possible in aircraft engineering. Below are screenshots and the link attached of Huawei being supported to develop semiconductor chips. SMIC, YMTC, UNISOC are examples. Aircraft technology should not be difficult for the Chinese if the Brazilians can have an Embraer. In my opinion, the Chinese are still not major players in life sciences and partly aircraft technology. Agrochemicals has been bought via Syngenta. Robotics through KUKA AG. Maybe someone can list the sectors the Chinese are way behind. But this semiconductor industry? I see them getting there by fire by force. As usual, when they do, they flood the market and prices plunge.


https://archive.md/2023.08.23-143233/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-23/huawei-building-secret-chip-plants-in-china-to-bypass-us-sanctions-group-warns

Gerrard59:


https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1698709810164945014

Only a matter of time and SMIC will mass produce the chip and prices will plunge. The Chinese are good at that.

Gerrard59:


https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1698709810164945014

Only a matter of time and SMIC will mass produce the chip and prices will plunge. The Chinese are good at that.

Gerrard59:


https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1698709810164945014

Only a matter of time and SMIC will mass produce the chip and prices will plunge. The Chinese are good at that.

pansophist:


The irony that SMIC started operation in just two decades. And is now a peer competitor for western chip industry.

This will make Taiwan completely irrelevant to Washington if their chip industry is taken over by the mainland's SMIC.

Just as HongKong fell into the hand of the mainland in 1997 with no single shot fired, Taiwan will have the same fate.

The evidence can be seen with Hong Kong. HK was the financial hub of Asia for decades, until the mainland developed so fast, that HongKong is no longer the gem it used to be.

When Taiwan looses it's edge on the chip industry, it will become so broke, that the people will rebel to join the mainland by force.

I can't see this playing out another way. China is definitely bidding their time, and waiting down the perfect wind to blow.

LordAdam16:


Believe me it is impossible to overemphasize the significance of this development.

Besides a potential price war, the flexibility and policy maneuverability this offers China is immense. It is a geopolitical uppercut.

There are still a couple of pertinent questions about their capability. Did they sidestep sanctions by re-routing Western machines through other countries or did they develop the machines domestically. What process did they use? How efficient is the manufacturing process and more (i.e how many usable chips are they getting per wafer)?

Gerrard59:

It is a hooge development, and I am only impressed by how fast they perfected it, not by its reality. I knew the Chinese would retaliate by producing the chips by themselves. They got the talent, die-hard spirit, capital, long-term thinking. Honestly, unless they succumb to threats or war, I don't see them failing in their quest to achieve what they want.

From what I have read, mainly by Westerners who come across as defeated, they are yet to produce the EUV machines. One aptly stated that it is done for once the Chinese begin to produce those machines. I have forgotten the specific terms, but the Chinese are only one generation away from the Taiwanese and Americans. Without the machines of ASML, it gets tough to get to that point, which is why the export restrictions came into place. However, because Japan and the Netherlands lodge their intentions of restricting supplies of those equipment at the WTO, the Chinese purchased a record quantities of those equipment before the restrictions came into effect (link attached: free-to-read).

LordAdam16:


China is past the point where threats or war can derail their quest.

Cutting off China completely will cause deflation in the West. 'To the last Taiwanese' in a war will never fly.

They're out of options.

All of the West's current efforts to reign in China are simply figurative mine laying and China has demonstrated they have capable figurative minesweepers.



TSMC and Samsung are on 3nm. The iPhone 15 PM to be released next week will have 3nm.

7nm is 3 generations back. The progression is 7nm, 5nm, 4nm, 3nm.

SMIC will need to reroute ASML machinery through friendly nations to keep up. I have some degree of familiarity with these lithography machines and they're engineering marvels, taking up entire rooms. ASML has R& offices in only the US and NL. None in the UK, Germany, Israel, or Japan, because the Americans want complete control.

There are no more than a few thousand experts in the entire planet with the know how to produce these machines. And modern Western high-value product design guidelines mandate compartmentalization. So the development teams for each major component are siloed. While the team that puts it all together have no expertise in the exact proprietary methods used to develop the components.

This is why when the likes of Apple and co buy companies in the space, they buy the entire organogram. Then poach star talents from rival companies with the lure of working with the creme de la creme in their ultra specific advanced field.

So you could secure the schematics for the latest machine through an hack and be unable to do anything with it. Poach a handful of employees and you run into a related problem because they have only specialized knowledge about a few components. This explains why Apple has been unable to design a high-performing 5G modem chip for years even though they bought Intel's entire modem chip division and poached talents from Qualcomm, Samsung, and Huawei. This is just design, they'll still have to use the Japanese and Taiwanese to pack and manufacture the modem chips.

China is keen to do everything within the mainland, so yea, saying it'd be tough is an understatement. They have their work cut out for them.

That said, there is only one direction they can go: UP. I'm in awe of their machining talent and if anyone can do it, it's China.

Lastly, the West is erecting roadblocks because they know when China hacks these advanced tech, the race is over.

Look at battery technology. The West can't catch up. The rapid reiteration in China has everyone in a doozy. Tesla started out with Panasonic, now they're deepening partnership with CATL. And the Biden Administration had to mandate that components be made in the US to qualify for EV credit. This is a subtle attempt to onboard Chinese proprietary battery tech.

Besides, when China figure these tech out, they'll become the preferred destination for talent and it'll kickstart a snowball effect. Now the US offers full scholarship for STEM PhDs and median wage stipend. Then, it'd becom full scholarship from masters level, citizenship immediately a program is completed, and six-figure starting stipend.

The secret to America's success is poaching talents. The moment a new bloc emerges with comparable draws and without silly sh*t like dozens of genders, all the innovation and creativity they showboat with will diminish.

This is one of the stellar reasons why I'm a proponent of multipolarism. It'd change the dynamics of a lot of things for our progenies.

-Lord

Gerrard59:
The axiom that says to understand the future is to look at the past. History always repeats itself. Now, Western journalists lament that China enjoys high surpluses due to increased exports and the Renminbi is undervalued. However, from the screenshot below, the Yen is actually undervalued when compared to the dollar. Thus, Japanese exporters enjoy more because their goods are cheaper to buyers outside Japan. But no complaints about that from Washington. Another whine is that the Chinese don't purchase goods from the outside world. That is a bare-faced lie, as I stated in my comment (screenshot attached). The solution they proffer? China has to rein in on exports and do some kini kan to the Yuan aka something something Plaza Accord

Article (free-to-read): https://archive.md/u3Drq

Regex:


Abeg I want ask, which course you study for university and which university you go? No vex say I deh ask.

emmaodet:





Lord Adams dey always burst your brain shey?

LordAdam16:


SMIC will need to reroute ASML machinery through friendly nations to keep up. I have some degree of familiarity with these lithography machines and they're engineering marvels, taking up entire rooms. ASML has R& offices in only the US and NL. None in the UK, Germany, Israel, or Japan, because the Americans want complete control.

There are no more than a few thousand experts in the entire planet with the know how to produce these machines. And modern Western high-value product design guidelines mandate compartmentalization. So the development teams for each major component are siloed. While the team that puts it all together have no expertise in the exact proprietary methods used to develop the components.

-Lord

Gerrard59:


https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1698709810164945014

Only a matter of time and SMIC will mass produce the chip and prices will plunge. The Chinese are good at that.

pansophist:

The ultimate victory is one which is won without a fight - Sun Tzu

budaatum:


This, Sun Tzu and all other knowledge China has evolved through its over 2000 year history, is what the Western world seems to ignore much.

It's like they consider China like the India and Africa they wrote history for, and at a time when India is considering a name change. I can just about see China delighting in the fact it is underestimated.

pansophist:


Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak — The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting. If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.

Sun Tzu.

LordAdam16:

SMIC will need to reroute ASML machinery through friendly nations to keep up. I have some degree of familiarity with these lithography machines and they're engineering marvels, taking up entire rooms. ASML has R& D offices in only the US and NL. None in the UK, Germany, Israel, or Japan, because the Americans want complete control.

There are no more than a few thousand experts in the entire planet with the know how to produce these machines. And modern Western high-value product design guidelines mandate compartmentalization. So the development teams for each major component are siloed. While the team that puts it all together have no expertise in the exact proprietary methods used to develop the components.

This is why when the likes of Apple and co buy companies in the space, they buy the entire organogram. Then poach star talents from rival companies with the lure of working with the creme de la creme in their ultra specific advanced field.

So you could secure the schematics for the latest machine through an hack and be unable to do anything with it. Poach a handful of employees and you run into a related problem because they have only specialized knowledge about a few components. This explains why Apple has been unable to design a high-performing 5G modem chip for years even though they bought Intel's entire modem chip division and poached talents from Qualcomm, Samsung, and Huawei. This is just design, they'll still have to use the Japanese and Taiwanese to pack and manufacture the modem chips.

China is keen to do everything within the mainland, so yea, saying it'd be tough is an understatement. They have their work cut out for them.

That said, there is only one direction they can go: UP. I'm in awe of their machining talent and if anyone can do it, it's China.

Lastly, the West is erecting roadblocks because they know when China hacks these advanced tech, the race is over.

Look at battery technology. The West can't catch up. The rapid reiteration in China has everyone in a doozy. Tesla started out with Panasonic, now they're deepening partnership with CATL. And the Biden Administration had to mandate that components be made in the US to qualify for EV credit. This is a subtle attempt to onboard Chinese proprietary battery tech.

Besides, when China figure these tech out, they'll become the preferred destination for talent and it'll kickstart a snowball effect. Now the US offers full scholarship for STEM PhDs and median wage stipend. Then, it'd becom full scholarship from masters level, citizenship immediately a program is completed, and six-figure starting stipend.

The secret to America's success is poaching talents. The moment a new bloc emerges with comparable draws and without silly sh*t like dozens of genders, all the innovation and creativity they showboat with will diminish.

This is one of the stellar reasons why I'm a proponent of multipolarism. It'd change the dynamics of a lot of things for our progenies.

-Lord

LordAdam16:


Per your comment on decoupling.

Is it possible that the West is pushing climate change, sustainability, and cutting energy use/emissions; specifically to get their population accustomed to a lower standard of living? A la "you will own nothing and be happy".

Precisely because decoupling from China and the budding BRICS+ bloc will be the worst self-own in Western history. I think the elites see the handwriting on the wall and know the era where the rest of the world sends them tangible goods and they repatriate worthless fiat then force everyone to accept their "international rules-based order" under the threat of sanctions, regime changes, aircraft carriers, and nukes will go tits up.

And whenever SHTF in the West and QoL drops drastically, it's "Guillotine Season". To get ahead of it, they're deliberately lowering living standards and making their pliable populace eat it up as "for the environment and our children". Netherlands closing farms to "cut Nitrogen emissions by 80%". France closing some short-flight routes. Asking people to cut electric usage while simultaneously pushing EVs.
-Lord

pansophist:


Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak — The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting. If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.

Sun Tzu.

Regex:


The question I do ask myself is this:

What if there was no countries like Russia, China and to an extent, Iran?

And recently my answer to it is, balance. There will be other countries raised by nature to balance things out.

budaatum:


It's all over Christian teaching too, but impatience ensures negative passivity is all that's seen and not it's power.

Now, if only we all go learn to organise in China instead of in UK, Nigeria might be greater.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jar8fRjUS9w?si=tP8XvQZrmkxLIxYD

pansophist:


Evil only gets powerful when good does nothing. Just imagine within the past decade where Russia and china start flexing their diplomatic muscle, hegemony is at the verge of crashing.

Western imperialism could persist for so long because it's one of a kind, and I can argue the world havent seen it before, hence it lasted.

Now that the facts and data are all out there, the global South will never let it happen again. I only hope that countries like Nigeria jump on the momentum and transform with the tides.

But sadly, I can say that nigeria is fully in the hands and clutches of the imperialist. The biggest scam evil will play is to pretend it's not there. It's there, and if you have eyes, you can see it.

pansophist:
I think before nigeria gets better, it needs to dump democracy. Democracy won't take us anywhere.

Regex:

The question I do ask myself is this:

What if there was no countries like Russia, China and to an extent, Iran?

And recently my answer to it is, balance. There will be other countries raised by nature to balance things out.

seguno2:


Was Oyo Alaafin not as democratic, if not more democratic than Britain and its hereditary monarchy Head of State

pansophist:


Have you eaten?

pansophist:
Evil only gets powerful when good does nothing. Just imagine within the past decade where Russia and china start flexing their diplomatic muscle, hegemony is at the verge of crashing.

Western imperialism could persist for so long because it's one of a kind, and I can argue the world havent seen it before, hence it lasted.

Now that the facts and data are all out there, the global South will never let it happen again. I only hope that countries like Nigeria jump on the momentum and transform with the tides.

But sadly, I can say that nigeria is fully in the hands and clutches of the imperialist. The biggest scam evil will play is to pretend it's not there. It's there, and if you have eyes, you can see it.